ISPs have hoped that 70 percent of file-swappers would pull down the Jolly Roger after they receive a mere notice. New research suggests that only 41 percent will stop; the rest require tough sanctions, and even disconnection won’t stop many.
But most Internet users aren’t sharing music at all; even the IFPI’s own numbers show that only 18 percent of Europeans engage in any file-swapping. So the real question is not how all Internet users will react, but how the file-swappers will react.
http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/20090118-37-of-p2p-users-say-theyll-ignore-disconnection-threats.html